CME Forecasts Future Fed Rate Cuts Probability
According to CME's FedWatch, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in January 2026 is 24.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 75.69%. By March 2026, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 41.4%, maintaining the rate is 50.5%, and a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 8.1%.
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