
Peet's (ASX:PPC) five-year earnings growth trails the impressive shareholder returns

Peet Limited (ASX:PPC) has seen its share price rise 122% over the past five years, with a recent 15% increase in the last month. However, its earnings per share (EPS) growth of 10% per year lags behind the share price increase. The total shareholder return (TSR) over five years is 175%, boosted by dividends. Recently, Peet has delivered a 36% TSR in the last year, indicating improved performance. Investors should be aware of two warning signs before investing.
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. Long term Peet Limited (ASX:PPC) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 122% in five years. In more good news, the share price has risen 15% in thirty days. But the price may well have benefitted from a buoyant market, since stocks have gained 7.8% in the last thirty days.
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
Our free stock report includes 2 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in Peet. Read for free now.
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During five years of share price growth, Peet achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 10% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 17% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
Dive deeper into Peet's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Peet's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Peet, it has a TSR of 175% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that Peet has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 36% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 22% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Peet (1 doesn't sit too well with us) that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.
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