Ansell Limited's (ASX:ANN) Price In Tune With Earnings
Ansell Limited (ASX:ANN) has a P/E ratio of 30x, higher than the Australian market average. Despite a recent 18% EPS growth, the company has seen a 44% decline over three years. Analysts predict a 34% annual EPS growth for the next three years, outpacing the market's 17%. This optimism supports the elevated P/E, indicating investor confidence in future earnings. However, potential risks exist, as highlighted by two warning signs. Overall, the high P/E reflects expectations of strong growth, making a significant price drop unlikely in the near term.
Ansell Limited's (ASX:ANN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 20x and even P/E's below 12x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
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Recent times have been advantageous for Ansell as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Ansell's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 18% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 44% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 34% per year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 17% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Ansell's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Ansell's P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Ansell maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Ansell has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
