Morning Trend | KINGDEE INT'L weakly expands downward, is the risk exposure in the software sector heating up?

Technical Forecast
2025.11.21 01:00
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As of the close on November 20, Kingdee International (268.HK) experienced weak fluctuations throughout the day, with previous bullish positions repeatedly constrained by selling pressure from above, showing a clear downward trend during the session. Shortly after the market opened, there was a wave of selling, with limited buying support from bulls, and some software information stocks also weakened simultaneously, indicating a clear rotation in the sector. The MACD death cross and the downward turn of short-term moving averages became signals for bulls to adjust their positions, leading to cautious trading behavior and a spread of wait-and-see sentiment. From a news perspective, the company had no significant positive announcements previously, and the software industry lacks marginal new catalysts. AI and high-growth themes have become the focus of mainstream market funds, causing traditional enterprise services and business software companies like Kingdee International to experience a phase of "disfavor." In recent years, the pace of digital transformation for enterprises has faced setbacks, and Kingdee International lacks growth drivers in the short term, leading to a decline in institutional funds' willingness to chase prices. In terms of technical trends, the stock has repeatedly tested the lower Bollinger Band, with prices gradually approaching previous lows. Some buying during the day has shown support but without significant volume, and the overall daily candlestick chart shows no signs of recovery energy. The market performance has mainly been characterized by weak rebounds and active retests, with the MACD death cross structure maintained, and major moving averages arranged in a bearish formation. Trading volume has not shown significant expansion, and the downward trend logic has not reversed. Currently, the sector's risk appetite continues to shrink, with major players highly alert to "risk exposure," fearing that industry news disturbances could further amplify the adjustment. In the short term, without new funds entering the market or significant movements from industry leaders, Kingdee International is unlikely to achieve an effective breakthrough. It is recommended that investors closely observe the previous lows and historical support levels below to prevent the risk of inertia-driven declines

On November 20th, at the close, Kingdee International (268.HK) showed weak fluctuations throughout the day, with previous bulls repeatedly constrained by selling pressure from above, and a noticeable downward trend during the session. Shortly after the opening, there was a wave of selling, with limited buying strength from the bulls, and some software information stocks weakened simultaneously, showing clear sector rotation characteristics. The MACD death cross and the downward turn of short-term moving averages became signals for the bulls to adjust their positions, leading to cautious trading behavior and a spread of wait-and-see sentiment.

From the news perspective, the company had no significant positive announcements previously, and the software industry lacks marginal new catalysts. AI and high-growth themes have become the focus of mainstream market funds, causing traditional enterprise services and business software companies like Kingdee International to experience a phase of "loss of favor." In recent years, the pace of digital transformation for enterprises has faced setbacks, and Kingdee International lacks growth drivers in the short term, leading to a decline in institutional funds' willingness to chase prices.

In terms of technical trends, the stock price has repeatedly tested the lower Bollinger Band, gradually approaching the previous low of the phase. Some intraday buying has shown bottom-supporting actions but without significant volume increase, and the overall daily K-line shows no signs of energy recovery. The market performance has mainly been characterized by weak rebounds and active pullbacks, with the MACD death cross structure maintained, major moving averages in a bearish arrangement, and no significant increase in trading volume, indicating that the downward trend logic has not reversed.

Currently, the sector's risk appetite continues to shrink, with major players highly alert to "risk exposure," fearing that industry news disturbances could further increase the adjustment amplitude. In the short term, without new funds entering the market or significant movements from industry leaders, Kingdee International is unlikely to achieve effective breakthroughs. It is recommended that investors closely observe the previous lows and historical support levels below to prevent the risk of inertia downward. Attention can be paid to high-frequency events in the sector or stabilization signals from leading companies, and caution should be exercised against blindly participating in rebounds, patiently waiting for market sentiment to recover