
[Today's Market Preview] Non-farm payroll data is coming in strong! Euro exchange rate declines for 5 consecutive days

Today's market outlook includes five major financial events: 1. The three major stock index futures rose, NVIDIA's earnings report exceeded expectations, and its stock price rose over 5%; 2. The United States will release the September non-farm payroll report, which may affect the trends of the US dollar, gold, and US stocks; 3. The US dollar index has risen for the fifth consecutive day, while the euro exchange rate has fallen for five consecutive days; 4. The Japanese yen exchange rate has hit a new low in 10 months, and there are still variables regarding the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike in December; 5. Bitcoin has temporarily stabilized, but the market is betting on a drop to $85,000
Investment Insights - Here are today's five major financial events:
- Three major stock index futures rise, NVIDIA jumps over 5% after earnings!
Before the U.S. stock market opened on November 20, three major stock index futures rose. As of 4:50 AM Eastern Time, Dow Jones futures rose by 0.41%, S&P 500 futures rose by 0.98%, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose by 1.35%.
Popular stocks generally rose, with NVIDIA (NVDA) up 5.05% and Tesla (TSLA) up 1.27%. On the news front, NVIDIA's earnings report exceeded expectations across the board.
- Non-farm payroll data is coming! Market sentiment is about to ignite
At 21:30 tonight, the U.S. will release the September non-farm employment report. The market generally expects an increase of 50,000 jobs in September, with the unemployment rate remaining at 4.3% and average hourly earnings year-on-year remaining at 3.7%.
Analysts point out that if the non-farm data exceeds expectations, it will be favorable for the U.S. dollar index to rise, negatively impacting gold and U.S. stocks. Conversely, if the non-farm data falls short of expectations, it will hurt the dollar and benefit gold and U.S. stocks.
- U.S. dollar index rises above 100, euro exchange rate declines for five consecutive days
The minutes from the Federal Reserve's October meeting showed that officials had serious disagreements about whether a rate cut was needed in December, which dampened market expectations for a rate cut. Currently, the market expects a 68.2% chance that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged in December, and a 31.8% chance of a 25 basis point cut.
The U.S. dollar index has risen for the fifth consecutive day, breaking above the 100 mark. The euro/dollar (EUR/USD) has declined for the fifth consecutive day, down 0.10% as of the time of writing, reported at 1.1525.
- Japanese yen exchange rate hits a 10-month low! Uncertainty remains for the Bank of Japan's rate hike in December
With reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut and weakened expectations for a Bank of Japan rate hike, the dollar/yen (USD/JPY) rose to 157.77, reaching a 10-month high.
Bank of Japan policy board member Junko Koeda has rarely released hawkish signals, suggesting that action may be taken as early as next month.
- Bitcoin stabilizes temporarily, market bets on a drop to $85,000
After Bitcoin (BTC) fell below the $90,000 mark, it rebounded today, reporting at $91,768 as of the time of writing.
The Myriad prediction platform shows that traders are betting the market will continue to "kill the dip," with up to 70% of funds betting Bitcoin will drop to $85,000. The Polymarket platform also shows that investors believe BTC is more likely to drop to $85,000 than to rise

