A Look At Brink's (BCO) Valuation After Guidance Raise And 16% ATM And Digital Growth

Brink's (BCO) is back in focus after reporting 16% growth in ATM managed services and digital retail solutions, the fastest North American growth in nine quarters, and raising full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance. See our latest analysis for Brink's. Those AMS and digital gains come after a multi month share price recovery, with Brink's posting an 8.37% 90 day share price return and a 35.82% 1 year total shareholder return. This suggests that momentum has been building rather than fading. If Brink's tech enabled cash services have caught your eye, it could be a good moment to widen the net and check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With Brink's trading at $125.45, about 6% below the average analyst price target and at a 43% discount to one intrinsic value estimate, investors may wonder whether there is still upside potential or if the market is already pricing in future growth. Most Popular Narrative: 6% Undervalued With Brink's last closing at $125.45 versus a widely followed fair value of $133.50, the current narrative leans on cash flow strength and disciplined capital use. Ongoing disciplined capital allocation, including aggressive share repurchases (over 50% of free cash flow targeted) and M&A (such as the KAL investment broadening AMS capability), is set to enhance EPS and further compound future earnings growth. Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue path, margin profile, and future earnings multiple are built into that $133.50 figure? The narrative emphasizes rising profitability, a lower share count, and a future valuation multiple that appears conservative relative to today. Result: Fair Value of $133.50 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, that story could be challenged if cash usage falls faster than expected, or if higher spending on technology upgrades pressures margins and free cash flow. Find out about the key risks to this Brink's narrative. Another Angle On Value So far, the story has leaned on future cash flows and a fair value of $133.50, which points to Brink's trading at a 6% discount. The market today is using a 30.8x P/E, compared with 26.2x for the US Commercial Services industry and a much higher fair ratio of 57.2x. That mix, richer than peers but well below the fair ratio, suggests the market is giving Brink's some credit for its growth profile while still leaving a wide gap to the level the fair ratio implies. The question for you is whether that gap looks like valuation risk or opportunity based on how confident you are in the earnings story. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NYSE:BCO P/E Ratio as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own Brink's Narrative If parts of this story do not line up with your own view, or you simply prefer to test the numbers yourself, you can build a custom thesis in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Brink's research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Brink's is already on your radar, do not stop there. Broaden your watchlist now so you are not the one hearing about the next opportunity late. Capture potential early movers by scanning these 3523 penny stocks with strong financials that pair smaller size with stronger financial foundations than you might expect. Position your portfolio for long term themes by zeroing in on these 23 AI penny stocks that link artificial intelligence with real revenue drivers. Push beyond headline names and check these 871 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that currently trade below what their cash flows may justify. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.