Hong Kong Stock Exchange (388.HK): Previous highs under pressure with fluctuations, whether trading volume can increase is key

Technical Forecast
2026.01.30 01:00
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The Hong Kong Stock Exchange made several attempts to surge to previous highs during the session yesterday, ultimately closing slightly higher. However, due to the overall trading volume not significantly increasing, the short-term pace appears somewhat cautious. The trading atmosphere in the market has warmed up, with northbound funds showing a net inflow again, driving a positive performance in the morning. As a core target of the market, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange has always been a focus for active funds, especially stimulated by news of new stock listings, which has enhanced the market heat around the exchange through weight rotation. In the afternoon, some funds chose to take profits, leading to increased volatility at high levels. From a sector perspective, the interaction of northbound and southbound funds has become a long-term favorable logic for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The market generally expects that trading volume is likely to expand further in the future, but the Hang Seng Index experienced significant fluctuations during the day. Under the influence of T+0 trading policies and other catalysts, the short-term capital game has noticeably heated up. The entire day's trend was repetitive, with significant resistance at high levels, and a fierce tug-of-war between bulls and bears at key positions. The intraday trading volume did not show smooth expansion, indicating that a phase breakthrough is waiting for the main funds to follow through. From a technical perspective, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange currently maintains a bullish structure, dominating market sentiment. Indicators are generally in an upward channel, but in high zones, the adjustment sentiment of funds has intensified, and the willingness to take profits on holdings has increased. Whether an effective breakthrough can be formed in the future needs to be observed in terms of volume follow-up and new policies providing support. In the medium to short term, if trading volume continues to expand, key positions are expected to achieve a real breakthrough; if volume shrinks, there may be repeated fluctuations at high levels. Investors should pay attention to policy trends and the overall capital aggregation effect in the Hong Kong stock market