Market & Stock Sharing

For new investors' reference, the following is only personal opinion, not investment advice. Please bear the risk yourself if you go all in.

$S&P 500(.SPX.US), what's your view this week?
Last week's data suggested consolidation this week, but Trump's Greenland remarks over the weekend significantly increased market volatility, with $Cboe Volatility Index(.VIX.US) rising to 18.7. I'll discuss from two perspectives.

1. If you're bullish:
$Cboe Volatility Index(.VIX.US) remains below 20. The Fear & Greed Index was still leaning greedy and near neutral last Friday (may rise on Tuesday). The market has developed some "immunity" to Trump's rhetoric - actual military action is extremely unlikely and unlikely to trigger systemic panic selling. Special attention should be paid to the crypto sector - delayed crypto-related bills have weakened market confidence, with greater negative impact on $Coinbase(COIN.US).
General reference values:
VIX>20: Tension begins;
VIX>30: Aggressive capital typically starts withdrawing from high-risk assets.
Key intraday levels to watch tomorrow: 6860/6820. If held, there's still rebound potential; if broken, may test 6750 this week. Today's holiday gives the market a day to digest news.

2. If you're bearish:
Having more cash is good. I view the Jan-Feb decline as minor correction - $S&P 500(.SPX.US) breaking 6600 is unlikely. Take quick profits on shorts. What's really worth doing is waiting for target stocks to correct before considering buying low, but don't go all in given fast-changing news. I don't recommend shorting for new investors - you're fighting the long-term upward trend of US stocks, which creates tremendous psychological pressure.

On high beta: Rotation is happening;
Everyone loves high beta, but remember: "The market always rotates." The "Magnificent Seven" have been flat YTD largely because at high levels, money moved to easier-to-move sectors: space, nuclear, defense. Many become reluctant to sell after rallies, overconfident. But the real test comes next with big tech earnings season kicking off with $Netflix(NFLX.US). Their performance is the real market theme - AI's current state. Institutions care not about stories but whether AI spending remains sustainable and profitable. Thematic stocks are just stories. If trapped now, consider it tuition - risk management always comes first.

I expect funds to gradually shift from high beta back to tech giants, especially deeply hit sectors (e.g. software). $Microsoft(MSFT.US) earnings will be key. At this stage, focus more on preserving existing profits than constantly bottom-fishing.

Recommended stocks:
$Ondas(ONDS.US):
Frankly, I was somewhat disappointed with Friday's session - no particularly bright news. But closer data inspection reveals key points: 2026 revenue raised to $170M (+260% YoY); ~$1.5B cash on hand provides ample M&A ammunition. The company aims to lead global "counter-drone systems," recently targeting Israel's mPrest software firm, though facing military opposition. Greenland news may cause short-term volatility but is medium-to-long-term positive - it literally sells "war prosperity." Under Trump, defense spending increases are almost certain.
Technically: The earlier surge left multiple gaps with weak support at 11.4/10.7/9.3. If not reduced at 14-15, be mentally prepared to be trapped. Short-term: Consider partial sales if rebounding to 13-14 in coming weeks; long-term: wait for low-buy opportunities.

$Nebius(NBIS.US):
Didn't exit at 110 - now wait patiently. Subsequent moves depend on AI giants' earnings.

$SoFi Tech(SOFI.US):
Await earnings. Post-earnings financial stock performance has been generally weak - avoid adding now. Pre-earnings: If market stabilizes, upside momentum remains for profit-taking; post-earnings: Consider buying the dip if plunges.