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The upcoming U.S. economic data is expected to show a widening trade deficit, with forecasts indicating a November figure of $45.1 billion, up from $29.4 billion. Other key releases include durable goods orders, consumer confidence, jobless claims, and producer price index, with various economists surveyed for their predictions. The data will be closely monitored as it reflects the economic landscape ahead.

- The Wall Street Journal's median forecasts present U.S. data for the upcoming week, including Durable Goods Orders projected to rise by 4.5% for November.  
- Key economic indicators include jobless claims of 209K for January 24 and a trade deficit expected at $45.1 billion for November.  
- Additional forecasts include a Producer Price Index increase of 0.3% for December and January's Consumer Confidence anticipated at 90.0.

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Trade Deficit Seen Widening -- Data Week Ahead

.DJU

Pimco Global Economic Advisor Ricard Clarida explains why he's optimistic on the US economy and discusses the candidates to be the next Chair of the Federal Reserve and the US Supreme Court weighing President Donald Trump's bid to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook.Bloomberg videos, provided by MT Newswires

- Ricard Clarida, Pimco Global Economic Advisor, expresses optimism about the US economy.  
- He discusses potential candidates for the next Chair of the Federal Reserve and the US Supreme Court's consideration of President Donald Trump's attempt to dismiss Fed Governor Lisa Cook.  
- The commentary highlights significant developments affecting US economic leadership and governance.

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Pimco's Clarida on US Economy, Future of the Federal Reserve

The U.S. economy grew at a sizzling 4.4% pace in the third quarter, defying expectations of a slowdown as consumer spending remained strong. The latest GDP update shows the fastest growth in two years, even as inflation and tariffs continue to weigh on households.

- The U.S. economy expanded by 4.4% in the third quarter, surpassing growth expectations.  
- This represents the fastest growth rate in two years, driven by robust consumer spending.  
- However, inflation and tariffs are still posing challenges for households.

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US economy defies slowdown, growing 4.4% as consumers keep spending strong

The Federal Reserve is expected to adopt a dovish tone at its upcoming monetary policy meeting, maintaining interest rates while signaling a potential for future cuts. Recent labor market data supports this pause, with Morgan Stanley analysts suggesting that Fed Chair Powell will emphasize an easing bias in his communication. Fed funds futures indicate expectations of two 25-basis-point cuts by year-end. Meanwhile, U.S. stock markets show mixed performance, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 up, while the Dow dips. Energy leads sector gains, and the dollar is down, with gold and bitcoin both rising.

- The U.S. stock market shows mixed results with Nasdaq and S&P 500 in positive territory while the Dow slips.  
- Morgan Stanley anticipates the Federal Reserve will use a dovish tone at its upcoming meeting, potentially signaling a pause in rate hikes amid stabilizing labor market data.  
- Market expectations include a possible 43 basis points cut by year-end, reflecting uncertainty about the future direction of monetary policy.

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LIVE MARKETS-A dovish hold? What to expect from the Fed

November US Leading Economic Index Falls 0.3% Vs. Expected 0.2% Decrease, Prior 0.1% Decrease

November US Leading Economic Index Falls 0.3% Vs. Expected 0.2% Decrease, Prior 0.1% Decrease

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Mace News

US CONFERENCE BOARD NOV LEADING INDICATOR INDEX -0.3% VS -0.1% IN OCTOBER AND -0.3% IN SEPTEMBER

The release of the leading U.S. economic indicators has been delayed due to a temporary network outage caused by the Conference Board. The indicators will be released as soon as network connectivity is restored. (Jinshi)

CoinLive

The release of leading U.S. economic indicators was delayed due to a temporary network outage by The Conference Board.

Economists predict that the US Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates until June, according to a Bloomberg survey. This is a shift from earlier expectations of a March cut due to persistent inflation and a stabilizing labor market. The Fed's preferred inflation metric is expected to remain above the 2% target until mid-2027. The survey indicates that the second rate reduction of the year may occur in September. Economic growth remains strong, with fourth-quarter GDP projected to rise by 2.1%.

- According to a recent Bloomberg survey, economists now expect the Federal Reserve to hold off on interest rate cuts until after June.  
- Due to persistent inflation pressures and signs of a stable labor market, the timeline for rate reductions has been delayed despite previous expectations for a March cut.  
- The survey also indicates that the core personal consumption expenditures price index is projected to average 2.7% this year, and the expected GDP growth for the fourth quarter has risen to 2.1%.

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Fed not seen cutting rates again until June in latest survey

Treasury yields were lower to end the week as investors weighed the state of the U.S. economy and fears eased around trade and geopolitics.

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Treasury yields lower as investors weigh the state of the US economy

Officials from electric grid management are warning that the current cold weather conditions, along with ice and snow, may result in power disruptions in numerous areas, potentially affecting millions of individuals with blackouts.

Unusual Whales

Severe storm threatens U.S. power grids; freezing conditions may result in outages, leaving millions without electricity.

Increased consumer spending, exports, government expenditure, and investment drove the U.S. economy's 2.5% annualized growth rate.

The US economy grew faster in the third quarter — and most economists didn't see that coming

President Trump criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for not lowering interest rates, claiming the Fed has been discredited under his leadership. Trump highlighted low mortgage rates and accused Powell of being obstinate. Powell is currently facing a federal investigation related to his congressional testimony. Trump has previously threatened legal action against Powell for incompetence regarding the Fed's renovations. The Fed has recently cut rates, with the current rate between 3.50 and 3.75 percent.

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Trump rails against Powell: 'Fed has been hurt and discredited'

Trump says he will announce Fed chair pick soon

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Trump says he will announce Fed chair pick soon

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Utility stocks beware. Politics are starting to eat into profits.

The U.S. power grid is under stress due to an Arctic cold blast and reduced gas supplies, raising concerns about its reliability. The North American Electric Reliability Corporation warns of potential disruptions as demand for electricity surges, particularly from data centers. The PJM Interconnection anticipates record winter demand, with peak loads possibly exceeding 130,000 MW. Past extreme weather events have highlighted vulnerabilities in the grid, prompting stricter regulations for winter preparedness. While both ERCOT and PJM expect to meet demand, ERCOT has noted a slight chance of controlled blackouts on January 31.

Dow Jones Utility Average(.DJU.US)

Trade Deficit Seen Widening -- Data Week Ahead

Pimco's Clarida on US Economy, Future of the Federal Reserve

US economy defies slowdown, growing 4.4% as consumers keep spending strong

LIVE MARKETS-A dovish hold? What to expect from the Fed

November US Leading Economic Index Falls 0.3% Vs. Expected 0.2% Decrease, Prior 0.1% Decrease