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Shopify continues to grow its revenue at a rapid rate. But is the stock overvalued?

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Shopify 

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Why I'm not buying the dip in Shopify stock

Strong fourth-quarter results weren't enough to overcome the negative sentiment toward software.

iShares Expanded Tech Software Sector ETF

SPDR S&P Software

Why Shopify popped and then dropped today

Shopify is investing in AI and international expansion, which is expected to pressure margins in the short term. The company anticipates a decline in free cash flow margin for Q1 compared to last year, following a mixed Q4 report. Despite a 31% increase in sales year-over-year, adjusted earnings fell short of expectations. Shopify's stock dropped 14% after the market opened, reflecting a broader decline in software stocks. The company reported a net income of $743 million, with free cash flow rising to $715 million but margin slipping to 19%.

marketscreener

Shopify's Margins Strain Under AI-Driven Growth Push -- Update

SPOT

Canada's main stock index, the TSX, fell by 138.34 points to 33,118.49, primarily due to disappointing earnings from Shopify and a selloff in technology stocks. Shopify's shares dropped 13.7% despite a positive revenue forecast. Other notable declines included Computer Modelling Group and Allied Properties REIT. In contrast, Intact Financial reported a 12% increase in net operating income, while Toromont Industries and First Quantum Minerals exceeded revenue expectations. The Dow Jones remained relatively unchanged, with job growth surpassing expectations in the delayed January jobs report.

Baystreet

Spotify

TSX Down as Earnings Leave Investors Cold

Shopify Shares Drop After Q4 Net Income Declines Year Over Year

Shopify Shares Drop After Q4 Net Income Declines Year Over Year

Shopify's stock fell 9% after reporting fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of 48 cents, missing the FactSet consensus of 50 cents. Despite a 31% revenue increase to $3.67 billion and a positive growth outlook, investors focused on the earnings miss. The company is investing in AI to enhance product discovery and retain merchants, with expectations of low-30% revenue growth in Q1. Shopify also announced a $2 billion share buyback program, reflecting its financial strength.

Dow Jones

Shopify's stock reverses lower as earnings miss overshadows AI opportunity

Shopify reported fourth-quarter earnings that exceeded revenue expectations, with a revenue of $3.67 billion against an estimate of $3.59 billion. Despite strong guidance for the first quarter, projecting revenue growth in the low-thirties percentage range, the stock fell over 3%. The company also announced a $2 billion share buyback. Shopify's gross merchandise volume rose 29% year over year to $123.8 billion, surpassing analyst estimates. The holiday shopping season contributed to revenue growth, despite a challenging economic environment.

CNBC

Shopify stock drops despite revenue beat, $2 billion buyback

Shopify Inc board authorizes $2B repurchase of class A shares - SEC filing

Shopify Inc board authorizes $2B repurchase of class A shares - SEC filing

Shopify anticipates strong revenue growth in Q1 2026, projecting a low-thirties percentage increase, following a robust Q4. Analysts predict revenue will rise to $2.95 billion, up from $2.36 billion in Q1 2025. However, Q4 net income fell to $743 million, down from $1.29 billion a year prior. Despite this, revenue increased to $3.67 billion. The company's stock has declined significantly, from C$253 to C$172.54, amid broader market concerns regarding AI and demand.

Shopify Guides for Strong 1Q Revenue Growth But 4Q Profit Falls

Shopify Q4 Net Income Falls, Revenue Rises; Shares Gain

Shopify Q4 Net Income Falls, Revenue Rises; Shares Gain

Shopify Brief: Says Achieved Q4 Revenue Growth of 31% and a 19% Free Cash Flow Margin

Shopify Brief: Says Achieved Q4 Revenue Growth of 31% and a 19% Free Cash Flow Margin

Shopify Inc. has released its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ending December 31, 2025. The report includes audited consolidated financial statements and is available on its website, as well as filed on EDGAR and SEDAR+. This announcement was made on February 11, 2026.

Reuters

Shopify Inc. Announces Release of 2025 Annual Report

CLOU

Shopify Inc. (NASDAQ:SHOP) is set to release its Q4 earnings on Feb. 11, with analysts predicting earnings of 51 cents per share, up from 44 cents last year, and revenue of $3.59 billion, compared to $2.81 billion last year. Following a strong Black Friday-Cyber Monday weekend, Shopify shares rose 7.5% to $127.24. Recent analyst ratings include a Buy rating from Benchmark with a price target cut to $145, and an Outperform rating from BMO with a target lowered to $150. Other analysts have made various adjustments to their ratings and price targets.

benzinga_article

Global X Cloud Computing ETF

Shopify Gears Up For Q4 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts

Shopify stock experienced a significant sell-off last week due to concerns over AI's impact on software. However, the decline seems exaggerated, as the company is well-positioned to benefit from AI-driven productivity in commerce. Its fundamentals remain strong, and the recent drop appears sentiment-driven rather than a reflection of business deterioration. Options traders anticipate a 13% price movement ahead of upcoming news.

Tip Ranks

Agentic Shopping Set to Reignite Bullish Tempo for Shopify Stock (SHOP)

What Options Traders Expect from SHOP Stock When Shopify Reports Earnings on February 11

Direxion Daily SHOP Bear 1X ETF(SHPD.US)

Why I'm not buying the dip in Shopify stock

Why Shopify popped and then dropped today

Shopify's Margins Strain Under AI-Driven Growth Push -- Update

TSX Down as Earnings Leave Investors Cold

Shopify Shares Drop After Q4 Net Income Declines Year Over Year